Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 67.874837 76.669900 85.691671 95.605451 106.161866 117.036964 129.057512
2025-06-01 54.506004 67.105273 80.641639 96.133025 113.244592 131.452388 152.177800
2025-06-08 45.435387 59.914632 76.037806 95.047312 116.590489 140.017277 167.195485
2025-06-15 39.951131 55.939487 74.294158 96.467095 122.108433 150.459030 183.819686
2025-06-22 35.668811 52.810808 73.043181 98.011163 127.386290 160.317368 199.519163
2025-06-29 30.917921 48.602065 70.090213 97.186769 129.611942 166.450366 210.787463
2025-07-06 26.219798 43.989956 66.259235 94.968242 129.908587 170.124068 219.037592
2025-07-13 24.680982 43.337913 67.217568 98.457449 136.897241 181.508895 236.129805
2025-07-20 22.744553 41.954771 67.100352 100.499573 142.057043 190.689648 250.626101
2025-07-27 20.075832 39.305501 65.153980 100.091932 144.114201 196.109818 260.655654
2025-08-03 17.565904 36.645486 63.010733 99.280728 145.552599 200.699081 269.633699
2025-08-10 15.817574 34.951816 62.047204 99.890462 148.677552 207.258060 280.905250
2025-08-17 13.812360 32.695666 60.210448 99.305091 150.295909 212.027209 290.119608
2025-08-24 12.289414 31.057936 59.138750 99.658267 153.053155 218.158459 300.961837
2025-08-31 10.537571 28.837309 57.087404 98.579044 153.890287 221.869461 308.839408
2025-09-07 9.614098 27.952360 56.925720 100.024633 157.949414 229.536309 321.496823
2025-09-14 8.807197 27.188519 56.888512 101.602535 162.156601 237.376545 334.366698
2025-09-21 7.536063 25.391206 55.173390 100.760392 163.136672 241.153867 342.254350
2025-09-28 6.124002 23.091977 52.531418 98.494151 162.147754 242.396049 346.983584
2025-10-05 5.955860 23.360314 53.964014 102.058226 168.926156 253.442854 363.795584
2025-10-12 5.531468 23.019616 54.383876 104.143661 173.719707 261.981862 377.526539
2025-10-19 4.723815 21.695658 53.120540 103.727404 175.112094 266.180754 385.877558
2025-10-26 3.943536 20.283438 51.621195 102.899011 175.899524 269.576363 393.210382